The season is only about 10 games old, but we've already had a number of surprises. On the positive side, Cleveland is riding an eight game winning streak which includes a sweep of the Red Sox. The Red Sox and their AL East running mate, the Rays, are off to two of the worst starts in baseball. With Manny's retirement and Longoira's oblique injury, the Rays are a completely different team than they were two weeks ago. While all of Boston is overreacting to the Sox slow start, significant questions have been raised about the starting pitching.
Sportsbetting.com is running in season win totals for each team. The table below shows how Sbet's numbers compare to BP's updated projections and projected remaining wins using BP's and Pinnacle's preseason totals.
It's not surprising that the projecting remaining wins using Pinnacle's preseason numbers results in the least variation. Despite their 7-2 start, the Phillies under remains one of the best bets on the board due to the questions about their offense ability. The Twins and Angels are also traditionally disliked by the sabermetric community and both teams have shown big weaknesses in the first 10 games of the season. On the other side, the Indians have won their last eight games and project to outperform their current number by every method. The best bet may be the Pirates. Bettors are hammering the under, despite the line moving down from the start of the season and all methods project the Pirates to top the current number. Pirates over is the best bet on the board.
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