Updated MLB Season Wins Totals

I last looked at these on April 12th. Since then, the Indians have continued to surprise and currently have a .667 winning percentage. Also in the AL Central, the Twins have been the worst team in baseball and the White Sox have been massive underachievers. Here's what the new numbers look like. The odds come from sbet and BP's numbers are from the playoff odds section. The chart also shows the change in the odds, how many wins the team would finish with by playing at its current pace, and the winning percentage it needs to play with the rest of the way to meet its number.

• Although Cleveland has been a great story, I still have significant concerns about their ability to continue to pitch this well going forward: It is very feasible they play below .400 baseball the rest of the way.
• The Cardinals, besides Pujols and Carpenter, have looked outstanding thus far. If the season ended today, Berkman and Garcia would be top three finishers in the MVP and Cy Young voting. That being said, unless Pujols and Carpenter turn it around, the team should regress a bit. Kyle McClellan's 4.2 K/9 is going to catch up to him eventually and Kyle Lohse will not continue to pitch one run baseball every time. That being said, I think they are a .500 team when all is said and done.
• The Phillies and their anemic offense continue to be an attractive play. 
•  My favorite number on the board is the Astros. The Astros are not a very good baseball team. Brett Wallace and Jason Bourgeosis have combined for 1.4 WAR. Amazingly, Wallace's .388 BABIP isn't the higher of the two as Bourgeosis's is .440. Additionally, the Astros lead the majors in blown saves with 11. Look for the Astros to be aggressive sellers at the deadline as new ownership looks to build its own team.